Every president believes they can reshape the world, and President Donald Trump carries an even stronger sense of personal power than his recent predecessors. Yet, the reality has been challenging for the 47th president. While he can pressure tech giants and government institutions like Harvard and the judiciary, some world leaders resist his influence.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly ignored and embarrassed Trump, openly defying U.S. efforts to end the war in Ukraine. Russian media now portray Trump as a loud but ineffective tough talker who ultimately backs down and fails to enforce consequences.
Miscalculations with China and the EU
Trump’s trade war with China also reveals a misunderstanding of Beijing’s political landscape. Authoritarian leaders in China do not bow to U.S. presidents. U.S. officials express frustration as China has failed to uphold commitments aimed at de-escalating trade tensions.
Similarly, Trump stepped back in his tariff battle with the European Union, prompting Financial Times commentator Robert Armstrong to coin the phrase “TACO trade” — “Trump Always Chickens Out.”
Trump expected alignment with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, having granted him many favors during his first term. However, the prolonged Gaza conflict poses an existential threat to Netanyahu’s political survival. Trump’s pursuit of an Iranian nuclear deal frustrates Israeli strategies that favor military action during Iran’s strategic weakness.
Divergent National Interests and Waning Influence
Global leaders pursue national interests based on their own timelines and realities, often disconnected from the transactional ambitions of U.S. presidents. Personal appeals without tangible benefits often fall flat. After Trump’s public attempts to embarrass leaders like Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky and South Africa’s Cyril Ramaphosa, the appeal of the White House seems to be diminishing.
Trump spent months last year claiming his “very good relationship” with Putin and Xi Jinping would resolve deep-rooted geopolitical tensions. Yet, he’s far from the first U.S. president to misjudge foreign leaders. George W. Bush once claimed to “sense the soul” of Putin, while Barack Obama dismissed Russia as a fading regional power — miscalculations that contributed to conflicts like the annexation of Crimea.
The Historical Burden of 21st Century Presidents
Recent presidents have all seen themselves as destined to shape global affairs. Bush became the global policeman after 9/11, starting wars whose aftermath remains complicated. Obama aimed to repair relations but faced setbacks in the Arab world. Biden promised a return to internationalism but has seen America’s global position challenged amid his own political struggles. Meanwhile, Trump’s “America First” rhetoric rests on the idea that the U.S. has been exploited despite building the most powerful global order in history.
Trump’s early presidency, marked by tariff threats, territorial ambitions, and cuts to humanitarian aid, demonstrated that global power is shared. Leaders in China, Russia, Israel, Europe, and Canada have calculated that Trump is not as powerful as he imagines, that there is little cost to defiance, or that domestic politics compel resistance.
Author’s Opinion
Modern global leadership requires negotiation and respect for complex international dynamics. Trump’s approach, rooted in personal bravado and transactional demands, underestimates the resilience of other nations and the limits of American unilateralism. True influence comes from diplomacy and coalition-building, not bluster and threats.
